Portal Berita Ekonomi Kamis, 17 Januari 2019

Perspektif Baru Bisnis & Ekonomi

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Executive Brief
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Will Sweden Swing to the Right?

Foto Berita Will Sweden Swing to the Right?
Warta Ekonomi.co.id, Jakarta -

Sweden goes to the polls this weekend in a general election, expect another populist uprising. For decades, Sweden has been highlighted by many as a shining example of utopian society. High taxes, but above-average educational and very generous welfare systems combined with a low crime rate, have made Sweden the envy of the world.

However, societal frictions have been rising, and many Swedes appear to be especially disgruntled with the country's "open arms" immigration policy. There is also criticism of the welfare state (known as Folkhemmet – people's home), with some linking its slipping standards to the strains that immigration has placed on it.

The ruling Social Democrat party has seen its popularity plummet in recent years, with some support going to the extreme left but most of it to the right-wing of the political spectrum. Compared with other societies, the decline in Sweden's social mood seems (characteristically) mild, but it has traced out a familiar path.

Our chart shows the Swedish stock market's (currency neutral) relative performance to the Eurozone (black line), along with the Swedish krona trade-weighted index. Having outperformed since 2002, the Swedish stock market started underperforming the Eurozone in 2012. This relative measure has been signaling that social mood in Sweden has been subtly trending negatively for over half a decade.

The close relationship with the Swedish krona is a reflection of capital flows as investors have sought returns elsewhere. If Swedes do vote in numbers for more populist, right-wing agendas this weekend, many commentators will portray it as a bit of a shock. The truth is, though, that a shift to the political extremes will provide a symptomatic exclamation mark to a negative social mood trend that has been going on for years.

One of Sweden's greatest gifts to the world has been the music of the legendary 1970s group ABBA. Essentially upbeat and optimistic, it appears to be in stark contrast with the Sweden of 2018.

Tag: Swedia

Penulis: Murray Gunn, Head of Research for Elliott Wave International's Global Market Perspective

Editor: Cahyo Prayogo

Foto: Reuters/Bob Strong

Kurs Rupiah

Mata Uang Simbol Nilai Jual Beli
Arab Saudi Riyal SAR 1.00 3,909.74 3,869.89
British Pound GBP 1.00 18,754.69 18,562.19
China Yuan CNY 1.00 2,114.10 2,093.06
Dolar Amerika Serikat USD 1.00 14,667.00 14,521.00
Dolar Australia AUD 1.00 10,673.18 10,561.12
Dolar Hong Kong HKD 1.00 1,872.96 1,854.27
Dolar Singapura SGD 1.00 10,659.93 10,553.05
EURO Spot Rate EUR 1.00 16,630.91 16,462.46
Ringgit Malaysia MYR 1.00 3,501.31 3,462.33
Yen Jepang JPY 100.00 12,933.86 12,801.73

Ringkasan BEI

No Name Today Change Stock
1 Composite Index 6423.780 10.420 625
2 Agriculture 1585.056 4.391 21
3 Mining 1869.559 5.276 47
4 Basic Industry and Chemicals 893.324 6.713 71
5 Miscellanous Industry 1416.122 3.773 46
6 Consumer Goods 2620.437 -2.533 51
7 Cons., Property & Real Estate 471.732 -7.343 74
8 Infrastruc., Utility & Trans. 1142.331 -2.336 71
9 Finance 1224.233 5.952 91
10 Trade & Service 792.311 2.820 153
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 PSDN 200 270 70 35.00
2 HOME 108 145 37 34.26
3 AGRS 374 466 92 24.60
4 SQMI 246 306 60 24.39
5 CANI 210 254 44 20.95
6 ASBI 252 300 48 19.05
7 PADI 780 920 140 17.95
8 TIRT 66 75 9 13.64
9 TNCA 183 206 23 12.57
10 CNTX 478 535 57 11.92
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 ABDA 4,480 3,360 -1,120 -25.00
2 NOBU 1,000 840 -160 -16.00
3 INCF 350 296 -54 -15.43
4 TIRA 312 270 -42 -13.46
5 BGTG 110 97 -13 -11.82
6 GLOB 545 482 -63 -11.56
7 VICO 119 107 -12 -10.08
8 SAFE 208 190 -18 -8.65
9 NIPS 398 364 -34 -8.54
10 APEX 1,295 1,190 -105 -8.11
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 SRIL 348 342 -6 -1.72
2 VICO 119 107 -12 -10.08
3 INDY 1,935 2,090 155 8.01
4 UNTR 26,050 26,850 800 3.07
5 KPAS 224 210 -14 -6.25
6 ERAA 2,450 2,310 -140 -5.71
7 BBRI 3,780 3,810 30 0.79
8 ADRO 1,460 1,460 0 0.00
9 TLKM 3,990 3,990 0 0.00
10 BUMI 159 164 5 3.14