Portal Berita Ekonomi Sabtu, 19 Januari 2019

Perspektif Baru Bisnis & Ekonomi

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Executive Brief
  • 16:59 WIB. Raja Juli Antoni - Prabowo klaim Gerindra banyak caleg perempuan DPR RI, padahal PSI paling banyak.
  • 16:59 WIB. Raja Juli Antoni - Kalau dibilang Jokowi pakai teks dan Prabowo pakai isi otak isinya hoax.
  • 16:59 WIB. Raja Juli Antoni - Isi otak Prabowo tak lebih dari hoax dan kebohongan.

Falling Markets Cause Rising Tensions

Foto Berita Falling Markets Cause Rising Tensions
Warta Ekonomi.co.id, Jakarta -

The disappearance and possible murder of Washington Post reporter Jamal Khashoggi is dominating the recent news cycle. But the resulting U.S.-Saudi Arabia tensions did not cause the collapse in Saudi equities nor any move in crude oil. As is usually the case, it’s the other way around.

Recent headlines reflect conventional thinking: U.S.-Saudi Tensions Pushing Stocks Lower and Oil Prices Waver on U.S.-Saudi Tensions. The mainstream default position is that news or events cause markets to move. Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance, however, clearly proves that news has no bearing at all on markets. In fact, the social actions that cause news stories tend to come after markets have already moved.

Oil prices have been rising for months. The Saudi Arabian Tadawul All-Share index most recently topped out in July, but it was already down 60% from its peak twelve years ago. We warned readers on 8 October that another declining wave in the Saudi Arabian index was probably starting. And, we anticipate a continued decline in the weeks ahead, regardless of the outcome of the situation with the missing journalist.

Stock markets reflect social mood; declining stock markets reflect negative mood. Increasing tensions in relations, be they political, commercial or personal, are symptoms of this negative trend in mood, not the cause.   

Tag: Arab Saudi, Amerika Serikat (AS)

Penulis/Editor: Cahyo Prayogo

Foto: Reuters/Desmond Boylan

Kurs Rupiah

Mata Uang Simbol Nilai Jual Beli
Arab Saudi Riyal SAR 1.00 3,909.74 3,869.89
British Pound GBP 1.00 18,754.69 18,562.19
China Yuan CNY 1.00 2,114.10 2,093.06
Dolar Amerika Serikat USD 1.00 14,667.00 14,521.00
Dolar Australia AUD 1.00 10,673.18 10,561.12
Dolar Hong Kong HKD 1.00 1,872.96 1,854.27
Dolar Singapura SGD 1.00 10,659.93 10,553.05
EURO Spot Rate EUR 1.00 16,630.91 16,462.46
Ringgit Malaysia MYR 1.00 3,501.31 3,462.33
Yen Jepang JPY 100.00 12,933.86 12,801.73

Ringkasan BEI

No Name Today Change Stock
1 Composite Index 6448.156 24.376 627
2 Agriculture 1583.292 -1.764 21
3 Mining 1880.920 11.361 47
4 Basic Industry and Chemicals 889.696 -3.628 71
5 Miscellanous Industry 1443.379 27.257 46
6 Consumer Goods 2607.292 -13.145 51
7 Cons., Property & Real Estate 471.624 -0.108 74
8 Infrastruc., Utility & Trans. 1149.241 6.910 71
9 Finance 1234.248 10.015 91
10 Trade & Service 797.089 4.778 155
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 CLAY 180 306 126 70.00
2 NATO 103 175 72 69.90
3 SQMI 306 382 76 24.84
4 KMTR 268 334 66 24.63
5 JIHD 476 590 114 23.95
6 INRU 640 785 145 22.66
7 TNCA 206 250 44 21.36
8 INCF 296 358 62 20.95
9 DUTI 3,630 4,390 760 20.94
10 PADI 920 1,090 170 18.48
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 TFCO 735 620 -115 -15.65
2 OCAP 266 226 -40 -15.04
3 YPAS 660 575 -85 -12.88
4 CTTH 126 110 -16 -12.70
5 MFMI 725 635 -90 -12.41
6 BUKK 2,000 1,800 -200 -10.00
7 PYFA 180 163 -17 -9.44
8 TIRA 270 250 -20 -7.41
9 STTP 3,750 3,490 -260 -6.93
10 ASJT 300 280 -20 -6.67
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 INPC 79 80 1 1.27
2 UNTR 26,850 26,925 75 0.28
3 INDY 2,090 2,180 90 4.31
4 ASII 8,275 8,475 200 2.42
5 TLKM 3,990 4,020 30 0.75
6 BUMI 164 174 10 6.10
7 BBRI 3,810 3,820 10 0.26
8 KPAS 210 208 -2 -0.95
9 ERAA 2,310 2,310 0 0.00
10 TSPC 1,600 1,575 -25 -1.56