Portal Berita Ekonomi Senin, 19 November 2018

Perspektif Baru Bisnis & Ekonomi

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Falling Markets Cause Rising Tensions

Foto Berita Falling Markets Cause Rising Tensions
Warta Ekonomi.co.id, Jakarta -

The disappearance and possible murder of Washington Post reporter Jamal Khashoggi is dominating the recent news cycle. But the resulting U.S.-Saudi Arabia tensions did not cause the collapse in Saudi equities nor any move in crude oil. As is usually the case, it’s the other way around.

Recent headlines reflect conventional thinking: U.S.-Saudi Tensions Pushing Stocks Lower and Oil Prices Waver on U.S.-Saudi Tensions. The mainstream default position is that news or events cause markets to move. Prechter's Socionomic Theory of Finance, however, clearly proves that news has no bearing at all on markets. In fact, the social actions that cause news stories tend to come after markets have already moved.

Oil prices have been rising for months. The Saudi Arabian Tadawul All-Share index most recently topped out in July, but it was already down 60% from its peak twelve years ago. We warned readers on 8 October that another declining wave in the Saudi Arabian index was probably starting. And, we anticipate a continued decline in the weeks ahead, regardless of the outcome of the situation with the missing journalist.

Stock markets reflect social mood; declining stock markets reflect negative mood. Increasing tensions in relations, be they political, commercial or personal, are symptoms of this negative trend in mood, not the cause.   

Tag: Arab Saudi, Amerika Serikat (AS)

Penulis/Editor: Cahyo Prayogo

Foto: Reuters/Desmond Boylan

Kurs Rupiah

Mata Uang Simbol Nilai Jual Beli
Arab Saudi Riyal SAR 1.00 3,909.74 3,869.89
British Pound GBP 1.00 18,754.69 18,562.19
China Yuan CNY 1.00 2,114.10 2,093.06
Dolar Amerika Serikat USD 1.00 14,667.00 14,521.00
Dolar Australia AUD 1.00 10,673.18 10,561.12
Dolar Hong Kong HKD 1.00 1,872.96 1,854.27
Dolar Singapura SGD 1.00 10,659.93 10,553.05
EURO Spot Rate EUR 1.00 16,630.91 16,462.46
Ringgit Malaysia MYR 1.00 3,501.31 3,462.33
Yen Jepang JPY 100.00 12,933.86 12,801.73

Ringkasan BEI

No Name Today Change Stock
1 Composite Index 6012.350 56.614 616
2 Agriculture 1444.624 20.661 20
3 Mining 1863.510 10.282 47
4 Basic Industry and Chemicals 792.445 13.262 71
5 Miscellanous Industry 1418.243 2.734 45
6 Consumer Goods 2347.362 0.220 49
7 Cons., Property & Real Estate 420.337 3.422 72
8 Infrastruc., Utility & Trans. 1092.429 22.357 71
9 Finance 1137.981 14.830 91
10 Trade & Service 810.548 3.800 150
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 POLA 135 228 93 68.89
2 SOSS 1,560 1,950 390 25.00
3 SURE 2,350 2,930 580 24.68
4 RUIS 230 282 52 22.61
5 ARTO 158 190 32 20.25
6 TRUK 126 151 25 19.84
7 NUSA 254 294 40 15.75
8 ISSP 79 91 12 15.19
9 APEX 1,520 1,720 200 13.16
10 HOME 107 118 11 10.28
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 YULE 190 131 -59 -31.05
2 YPAS 690 525 -165 -23.91
3 AKPI 900 780 -120 -13.33
4 SQMI 248 216 -32 -12.90
5 RELI 280 246 -34 -12.14
6 TAMU 2,700 2,400 -300 -11.11
7 TIRA 154 138 -16 -10.39
8 UNIT 282 254 -28 -9.93
9 IDPR 775 700 -75 -9.68
10 HDTX 197 178 -19 -9.64
No Code Prev Close Change %
1 ESTI 108 99 -9 -8.33
2 BBRI 3,410 3,490 80 2.35
3 TLKM 3,910 4,050 140 3.58
4 BBCA 24,175 24,825 650 2.69
5 HMSP 3,480 3,420 -60 -1.72
6 WSKT 1,500 1,530 30 2.00
7 SMGR 10,300 11,000 700 6.80
8 KPAS 585 540 -45 -7.69
9 ERAA 1,725 1,840 115 6.67
10 BBTN 2,300 2,400 100 4.35